Pick Ninja
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Week 11/Weighted margin

Margin × confidence

+116
Example numbers, showing how this format plays. Not a live pool.
Your cover margin, multiplied by how sure you were. Rank them 8 down to 1 like a normal confidence pool, then every point you beat the spread by is worth that much more. Capped at ±40 a game, or one result runs away with the season.
BAL −9.5won by 14
BALRavens+4.5×8=+36
PHI −7won by 14CAPPED
PHIEagles+7×7=+40
NE −6won by 14CAPPED
NEPatriots+8×6=+40
CAR +3won by 3
CARPanthers+6×5=+30
DEN +2.5won by 4
DENBroncos+6.5×4=+26
NYG +4lost by 20CAPPED
NYGGiants−16×3=−40
TEN +13lost by 21
TENTitans−8×2=−16
LAR −3won by 3
LARRams0×1=0
Week 11 total
Capped games are marked
+116
The cap is not optional here. Uncapped, a 20-point miss on your 8-rated pick is −160 — more than a good week is worth. With ±40 the same disaster costs 40 and the week is still alive. The gentler alternative is margin + confidence instead of ×: a +4 cover ranked 8 scores 12, not 32.